Swedish SuperettanMyresjöhus Arena, Växjö4°1,8 mm22 km/h

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    ÖsterÖsterCounter-attacks & crosses
    vs
    Helsingborgs IFHelsingborgs IFPossession control
    The model's lean: 1 · Öster (47%)

    Öster vs Helsingborgs IF · Swedish Superettan

    1 · Öster 47%X 27%26% Helsingborgs IF · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Öster vs Helsingborgs IF (Swedish Superettan, Monday, 2 November 2026): Öster win 47%, draw 27%, Helsingborgs IF win 26%. Expected goals (xG): Öster 1.86, Helsingborgs IF 1.21. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%. Double chance: Öster or draw 74%, Helsingborgs IF or draw 53%. Prediction updated Monday, 26 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Öster – Helsingborgs IF

    Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

    TEXT: In the limited head-to-head encounters since 2024, Helsingborgs IF holds a slight edge with two wins and one loss against Öster. However, given the small sample size, this factor doesn't weigh heavily compared to the current form and deeper statistics at play. The home side has been more consistent overall, underscored by their 59% home win rate across 29 matches.

    Öster carries a significant edge in points, standing at 42 compared to Helsingborgs' 31. When we delve into expected metrics, the hosts also maintain the upper hand with an xPoints of 33.9 against Helsingborgs' 29.0. This aligns with the model's probability, tipping Öster as 47% likely to secure the win, compared to the visitors' 26% chance. Öster's style, favoring counter-attacks and crosses, could exploit Helsingborgs' possession-oriented approach, especially if the visitors struggle to convert possession into tangible threats.

    Despite their struggle in head-to-head matchups, Öster seems better positioned for this clash. Their expected goals per match (1.3) outshine Helsingborgs' (1.1), suggesting a sharper attacking edge. However, their defensive vulnerability is evident with an xGA of 1.7 compared to Helsingborgs' 1.4, indicating potential susceptibility to counters. The model's most likely outcomes, such as a 1-1 draw or a 2-1 home victory, reflect a tight contest but lean towards a home advantage.

    For bettors, the standout opportunity lies with the home side. The predicted 59% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored complements Öster's attacking profile, though it should be noted that the potential for both teams to score is equally high, at 59%. Consider backing Öster given the statistical lean and their formidable home record.

    ÖsterÖster
    Form WLLWW
    League ranking xG #11xGA #15xT #12xP/match #13Points #7
    Key players
    • Dennis OlssonLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.50
    • Daniel AskCMxG 0.08 · xT 0.25
    • Tatu VarmanenRBxG 0.02 · xT 0.14
    Helsingborgs IFHelsingborgs IF
    Form WLDLD
    League ranking xG #13xGA #12xT #7xP/match #16Points #12
    Key players
    • Max SvenssonLWxG 0.23 · xT 0.51
    • Lukas KjellnäsCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.18
    • Alvin NordinCMxG 0.09 · xT 0.25

    Match prediction: Öster – Helsingborgs IF

    Predicted score matrix

    Helsingborgs IF →
    Öster →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.0%
    0–15.3%
    0–23.4%
    0–31.4%
    0–4+0.5%
    1
    1–08.4%
    1–110.8%
    1–26.3%
    1–32.5%
    1–4+1.0%
    2
    2–08.1%
    2–19.7%
    2–25.9%
    2–32.4%
    2–4+0.9%
    3
    3–05.0%
    3–16.0%
    3–23.6%
    3–31.5%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–03.5%
    4+–14.3%
    4+–22.6%
    4+–31.0%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-08%
    4. 4.2-08%
    5. 5.1-26%
    Expected goals
    1,86–1,21
    Both teams to score
    59%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,1
    Under 2,541%
    @2.28
    Over 2,559%
    @1.58

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Öster to win47%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    44%

    Fair odds

    2.28

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Öster to win47%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%
    • Filip Olsson to score26%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score59%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%
    • Filip Olsson to score26%
    • Daouda Amadou to be booked25%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Öster47% probability@2.27BetsafeEV+6%reference odds
    • 1 · Öster47% probability@2.27NordicbetEV+6%reference odds
    • 1 · Öster47% probability@2.20LeoVegasEV+2%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · ÖsterX2 · Helsingborgs IF
    Betsafe
    EV+ 6%
    2.27
    3.512.96
    LeoVegas
    EV+ 2%
    2.20
    3.402.90
    Nordicbet
    EV+ 6%
    2.27
    3.512.96

    Odds updated 27 Oct, 11:37

    Odds movement

    10 %
    44 %39 %

    2.20 → 2.20

    X0 %
    29 %24 %

    3.40 → 3.40

    20 %
    34 %29 %

    2.90 → 2.90

    Over 2,50 %
    62 %57 %

    1.55 → 1.55

    LeoVegas · 2 recorded price levels · 26/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    3 matches
    Öster 1Draw 0Helsingborgs IF 2
    Goals: 7–7 (⌀ 4,7)

    Head-to-head based on Superettan data since 2024.

    Key facts

    • Östers IF win 59% of their home matches all-time (29 played).
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Öster
    Helsingborgs IF
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Öster (46–45)
    Helsingborgs IF (36–47)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Öster
    Sebastian Hedlund: 285 passningar, xT 0.18HedlundDennis Olsson: 253 passningar, xT 2.23OlssonMattis Adolfsson: 154 passningar, xT 0.22AdolfssonMarinus Due Grandt: 152 passningar, xT 0.16GrandtHannes Bladh Pijaca: 150 passningar, xT 0.13PijacaKeyano Marrah: 148 passningar, xT 0.1MarrahNoah Söderberg: 146 passningar, xT 0.16SöderbergKingsley Gyamfi: 145 passningar, xT 0.06GyamfiTatu Varmanen: 125 passningar, xT 0.78VarmanenOscar Uddenäs: 113 passningar, xT 0.92UddenäsCarl Lundahl Persson: 83 passningar, xT 0.14Persson
    Helsingborgs IF
    Jakob Voelkerling Persson: 194 passningar, xT -0.15PerssonMarcus Gudmann: 161 passningar, xT 0.36GudmannDemba N'Diaye: 146 passningar, xT 0.28N'DiayeSimon Bengtsson: 142 passningar, xT 0.07BengtssonObafemi Awodesu: 135 passningar, xT 0.06AwodesuLukas Kjellnäs: 132 passningar, xT 0.37KjellnäsErik Lindell: 127 passningar, xT 0.59LindellDaouda Amadou: 114 passningar, xT 0.05AmadouSamuel Asoma: 102 passningar, xT -0.09AsomaEmil Rådahl: 66 passningar, xT 0.18RådahlJulian Larsson: 59 passningar, xT 0.49Larsson
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Öster
    Sebastian Hedlund: 285 passningar, xT 0.18HedlundDennis Olsson: 253 passningar, xT 2.23OlssonMattis Adolfsson: 154 passningar, xT 0.22AdolfssonMarinus Due Grandt: 152 passningar, xT 0.16GrandtHannes Bladh Pijaca: 150 passningar, xT 0.13PijacaKeyano Marrah: 148 passningar, xT 0.1MarrahNoah Söderberg: 146 passningar, xT 0.16SöderbergKingsley Gyamfi: 145 passningar, xT 0.06GyamfiTatu Varmanen: 125 passningar, xT 0.78VarmanenOscar Uddenäs: 113 passningar, xT 0.92UddenäsCarl Lundahl Persson: 83 passningar, xT 0.14Persson
    Helsingborgs IF
    Jakob Voelkerling Persson: 194 passningar, xT -0.15PerssonMarcus Gudmann: 161 passningar, xT 0.36GudmannDemba N'Diaye: 146 passningar, xT 0.28N'DiayeSimon Bengtsson: 142 passningar, xT 0.07BengtssonObafemi Awodesu: 135 passningar, xT 0.06AwodesuLukas Kjellnäs: 132 passningar, xT 0.37KjellnäsErik Lindell: 127 passningar, xT 0.59LindellDaouda Amadou: 114 passningar, xT 0.05AmadouSamuel Asoma: 102 passningar, xT -0.09AsomaEmil Rådahl: 66 passningar, xT 0.18RådahlJulian Larsson: 59 passningar, xT 0.49Larsson

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceÖsterHelsingborgs IF
    Points4231
    xPoints33.929
    xG per match1.31.1
    xGA per match1.71.4
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.220.24
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.330.23
    Playing styleÖsterHelsingborgs IF
    Build-up efficiency0.350.33
    Field tilt0.450.53
    xT per match1.41.5
    xTA per match1.81.4
    Won balls, offensive half2833
    Pressing intensity0.540.53
    Pressing efficiency0.260.28
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.270.29
    Entries into the box per match1314
    Entries into the box against2013
    Pass completion %0.790.79
    Pass completion % under pressure0.740.73
    Passes per match381406
    Passes against per match383361
    Switches of play per match14.514.3
    Long balls per match2927
    Set piecesÖsterHelsingborgs IF
    xG from free kicks0.220.08
    Corners per match4.95.5
    Corners against per match6.25
    xG per corner0.030.03
    xGA per corner against0.030.05
    First touch, offensive corners %0.410.31
    First touch, defensive corners %0.590.57
    OtherÖsterHelsingborgs IF
    Throw-in control0.550.54
    The goalkeepersCarl Lundahl Persson (Öster)Johan Brattberg (Helsingborgs IF)
    Saves11478
    Save %76%68%
    xG prevented54%45%
    Claims156 (87%)148 (93%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Öster spelschemaHelsingborgs IF spelschema

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Öster vs Helsingborgs IF according to our model?

    The model gives Öster a 47% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Öster 47%, draw 27%, Helsingborgs IF 26%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Öster vs Helsingborgs IF?

    The model expects 1.86 goals (xG) for Öster and 1.21 for Helsingborgs IF, 3.06 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Öster or draw (1X) 74%, Helsingborgs IF or draw (X2) 53% and no draw (12) 73%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.