Grasshopper vs Vaduz Prediction: Away win 45% (31 Oct 2026)

Swiss Super League31 October 2026 18:00 CETLetzigrund, Zürich7°11 km/h

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GrasshopperCounter-attacks & crosses

VaduzPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Vaduz (45%)Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 2.85 (+16 %)

1 · Grasshopper 29%X 25%45% Vaduz · 2

29%

25%

45%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Grasshopper vs Vaduz (Swiss Super League, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Grasshopper win 29%, draw 25%, Vaduz win 45%. Expected goals (xG): Grasshopper 1.34, Vaduz 1.72. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%. Double chance: Grasshopper or draw 55%, Vaduz or draw 71%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

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Analysis: Grasshopper – Vaduz

Erik Lindberg · 26 October 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

45% is Vaduz’s win probability, against 29% for Grasshopper, and that is the cleanest line in this matchup. The visitors bring possession control, 1.8 xG per match and 1.8 xGA, better figures than the hosts’ 1.6 and 2.0. Grasshopper’s counter-attacks and crosses carry a real threat, reflected in 0.35 xG within eight seconds of winning the ball versus 0.25, but Vaduz have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.

The analysis points to Vaduz, narrowly. Grasshopper hold a marginal xPoints edge, 14.5 to 14.3, yet Vaduz’s stronger underlying chance creation and defensive numbers matter more over a full match. The head-to-head record since 2023 is one match, with Grasshopper 0W 0D 1L; it is a small sample and weighs less than form and expected goals. Expected goals sit at 1.34-1.72, with 1-1 the most likely scoreline at 11%, followed by 1-2 at 9%. My call is 1-2.

Over 2.5 goals gets the model lean at 59%, while both teams scoring rates 61%. Still, the price makes the duller route the desk’s preferred angle: under 2.5 is assessed EV+ at 2.92 with Betsafe or Nordicbet, and 2.9 with LeoVegas, with the model rating it 41% for a 19% edge. Tråkiga, well-priced unders pay the bills.

Grasshopper

Form WLLLD

League ranking xG #8xGA #10xT #6xP/match #8Points #11

Key players

Tim MeyerCDMxG 0.00 · xT 0.10
Samuel Sebastian KrasniqiLWxG 0.31 · xT 0.34
Young Joon LeeFxG 0.47 · xT -0.01

Vaduz

Form WLLWL

League ranking xG #6xGA #9xT #9xP/match #9Points #10

Key players

Denis SimaniCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.09
Liridon BerishaCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.11
Dominik SchwizerLWBxG 0.18 · xT 0.23

Match prediction: Grasshopper – Vaduz

Predicted score matrix

Vaduz →

Grasshopper →

0–05.0%

0–17.7%

0–26.9%

0–34.0%

0–4+2.5%

1–05.9%

1–111.1%

1–29.3%

1–35.3%

1–4+3.4%

2–04.2%

2–17.2%

2–26.2%

2–33.6%

2–4+2.3%

3–01.9%

3–13.2%

3–22.8%

3–31.6%

3–4+1.0%

4+–00.8%

4+–11.5%

4+–21.3%

4+–30.7%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-29%
3.0-18%
4.2-17%
5.0-27%

Expected goals

1,34–1,72

Both teams to score

61%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

114%

222%

322%

417%

5+20%

Under 2,541%

@2.85EV+15%

Over 2,559%

@1.38

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Vaduz to win45%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Vaduz to win45%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Marcel Michael Monsberger to score28%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score61%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Marcel Michael Monsberger to score28%
Bujar Pllana to be booked21%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Under 2.541% probability@2.85LeoVegasEV+16%reference odds
Under 2.541% probability@2.82BetsafeEV+15%reference odds
Under 2.541% probability@2.82NordicbetEV+15%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Grasshopper	X	2 · Vaduz
Betsafe	2.45	3.75	EV+ 7% 2.35
LeoVegas	2.45	3.85	EV+ 8% 2.38
Nordicbet	2.45	3.75	EV+ 7% 2.35

Odds updated 27 Oct, 13:36

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards an Vaduz win since 24 October — the odds have shortened from 2.65 to 2.38 (−10%).

1+9 %

42 %32 %

2.25 → 2.45

X+4 %

29 %19 %

3.70 → 3.85

2-10 %

43 %33 %

2.65 → 2.38

LeoVegas · 8 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

1 matches

Grasshopper 0Draw 0Vaduz 1

Goals: 2–5 (⌀ 7)

Head-to-head based on Swiss Super League data since 2023.

Key facts

Vaduz have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Grasshopper

Vaduz

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Grasshopper (13–26)

Vaduz (22–23)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Grasshopper

Vaduz

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Grasshopper

Vaduz

The teams in numbers

Performance	Grasshopper	Vaduz
Points	9	9
xPoints	14.5	14.3
xG per match	1.6	1.8
xGA per match	2	1.8
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.35	0.25
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.29	0.36

Playing style	Grasshopper	Vaduz
Build-up efficiency	0.28	0.29
Field tilt	0.45	0.5
xT per match	1.1	1.1
xTA per match	1.5	1.2
Won balls, offensive half	29	25
Pressing intensity	0.25	0.27
Pressing efficiency	0.31	0.35
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.28	0.32
Entries into the box per match	14	14
Entries into the box against	18	16
Pass completion %	0.68	0.77
Pass completion % under pressure	0.63	0.72
Passes per match	273	419
Passes against per match	371	289
Switches of play per match	14.4	26
Long balls per match	28	35

Set pieces	Grasshopper	Vaduz
xG from free kicks	0.16	0.08
Corners per match	5	4
Corners against per match	6.2	6.6
xG per corner	0.07	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.47	0.48
First touch, defensive corners %	0.54	0.56

Other	Grasshopper	Vaduz
Throw-in control	0.62	0.7

The goalkeepers	Marvin Hübel (Grasshopper)	Leon Schaffran (Vaduz)
Saves	23	36
Save %	62%	67%
xG prevented	41%	55%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Grasshopper

Fixtures, form & tips

Vaduz

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Grasshopper vs Vaduz according to our model?

The model gives Vaduz a 45% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Grasshopper 29%, draw 25%, Vaduz 45%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Grasshopper vs Vaduz?

The model expects 1.34 goals (xG) for Grasshopper and 1.72 for Vaduz, 3.07 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Grasshopper or draw (1X) 55%, Vaduz or draw (X2) 71% and no draw (12) 75%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.