01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Juve Stabia or draw (X2)73%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Serie BStadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli12°24 km/h
Läs på svenska
EmpoliLow block & directvs
Juve StabiaCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 2 · Juve Stabia (43%)
Empoli vs Juve Stabia · Serie B
1 · Empoli 30%X 27%43% Juve Stabia · 2
30%
27%
43%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Empoli vs Juve Stabia (Serie B, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Empoli win 30%, draw 27%, Juve Stabia win 43%. Expected goals (xG): Empoli 1.18, Juve Stabia 1.64. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: Empoli or draw 57%, Juve Stabia or draw 70%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Empoli – Juve Stabia
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Two meetings since 2023, two defeats: Empoli have gone 0W 0D 2L against Juve Stabia. That is a clean pattern, but it is only a two-game head-to-head sample, small and lighter than current form and expected goals. The visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches; that sequence belongs to their season form, not the head-to-head ledger.
The deeper gap is harder to dismiss. Stabia hold 12 points to Empoli’s 7, while xPoints put it at 11.1 to 8.9. They create 1.3 xG per match against 0.85 and allow 1.1 xGA against 1.8. This is not a table-reading exercise: the away side is creating more and conceding materially less. Empoli’s low defence & direct profile invites pressure, while the visitors’ counter attack & crosses has a practical route into the spaces left by that setup.
Model probabilities make Juve Stabia 43%, ahead of Empoli at 30% and the draw at 27%. The score distribution has 1-1 as the most likely scoreline at 12%, with 1-2 and 0-1 both at 9%. That makes a stalemate the single likeliest exact score, but not the correct broad-side position. The analysis points away: Stabia have the stronger underlying profile and enough control without requiring an open match.
Goals sit close to the dividing line rather than screaming in either direction. Over 2.5 is 54%, and both teams to score is 56%, so the lean is Over 2.5, narrowly; 1.18 expected goals for Empoli and 1.64 for the visitors support that. The cleaner value assessment is the away win: Betsafe and Nordicbet offer 2.9 against a 43% model rate, a 24% edge; LeoVegas has 2.85, still a 22% edge. Away at 2.9 is the desk’s sharpest angle.
EmpoliForm LLLDL
League ranking xG #20xGA #19xT #20xP/match #16Points #17
Key players
- Edoardo SaporitiFxG 0.19 · xT 0.09
- Stiven ShpendiFxG 0.25 · xT -0.01
- Gerard YepesCDMxG 0.07 · xT 0.01
Juve StabiaForm DDDWW
League ranking xG #8xGA #7xT #17xP/match #8Points #8
Key players
- Giuseppe SibilliFxG 0.31 · xT 0.21
- Marco BellichCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.04
- Tommaso MaggioniRBxG 0.01 · xT 0.06
Match prediction: Empoli – Juve Stabia
Predicted score matrix
Juve Stabia →
Empoli →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.3%
0–19.4%
0–28.0%
0–34.4%
0–4+2.6%
1
1–06.7%
1–111.9%
1–29.4%
1–35.2%
1–4+3.0%
2
2–04.2%
2–16.8%
2–25.6%
2–33.1%
2–4+1.8%
3
3–01.6%
3–12.7%
3–22.2%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–00.6%
4+–11.0%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-28%
- 5.2-17%
Expected goals
1,18–1,64
Both teams to score
56%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@1.70
Over 2,554%
@2.05EV+10%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Juve Stabia or draw (X2)73%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Antonio Di Nardo to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score56%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Antonio Di Nardo to score23%
- Marco Bellich to be booked18%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Juve Stabia43% probability@2.90BetsafeEV+24%reference odds
- 2 · Juve Stabia43% probability@2.90NordicbetEV+24%reference odds
- 2 · Juve Stabia43% probability@2.85LeoVegasEV+22%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Empoli | X | 2 · Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.32 | 3.15 | EV+ 24% 2.90 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30 | 3.25 | EV+ 22% 2.85 |
| Nordicbet | 2.32 | 3.15 | EV+ 24% 2.90 |
Odds updated 27 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
10 %
42 %37 %
2.30 → 2.30
X0 %
31 %26 %
3.25 → 3.25
20 %
35 %30 %
2.85 → 2.85
LeoVegas · 3 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesEmpoli 0Draw 0Juve Stabia 2
Goals: 1–4 (⌀ 2,5)
Head-to-head based on Serie B data since 2023.
Key facts
- SS Juve Stabia are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Empoli
Juve Stabia
Empoli (7–13)
Juve Stabia (9–8)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Empoli
Juve Stabia
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Empoli
Juve Stabia
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Empoli | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 7 | 12 |
| xPoints | 8.9 | 11.1 |
| xG per match | 0.85 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.06 | 0.24 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.3 | 0.21 |
| Playing style | Empoli | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Field tilt | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| xT per match | 0.48 | 0.71 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 0.79 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.2 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 9 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 14 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| Passes per match | 316 | 396 |
| Passes against per match | 423 | 323 |
| Switches of play per match | 22.9 | 20.7 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 22 |
| Set pieces | Empoli | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0 | 0.09 |
| Corners per match | 4 | 4.6 |
| Corners against per match | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.07 | 0.01 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.29 | 0.6 |
| Other | Empoli | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| The goalkeepers | Jacopo Seghetti (Empoli) | Pietro Boer (Juve Stabia) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 32 | 17 |
| Save % | 73% | 68% |
| xG prevented | 49% | 66% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Empoli spelschemaJuve Stabia spelschema
- Sampdoria – Virtus Entella31 October 2026
- Cremonese – Benevento31 October 2026
- Catanzaro – Padova31 October 2026
- Modena – Mantova31 October 2026
- Südtirol – Cesena31 October 2026
- Palermo – Vicenza1 November 2026
- Arezzo – Ascoli1 November 2026
- Hellas Verona – Carrarese1 November 2026
- Avellino – Pisa1 November 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Empoli vs Juve Stabia according to our model?
The model gives Juve Stabia a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Empoli 30%, draw 27%, Juve Stabia 43%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Empoli vs Juve Stabia?
The model expects 1.18 goals (xG) for Empoli and 1.64 for Juve Stabia, 2.82 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Empoli or draw (1X) 57%, Juve Stabia or draw (X2) 70% and no draw (12) 73%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.