01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Sampdoria to win45%
- Under 3.5 goals73%
Serie BStadio Luigi Ferraris, Genova15°11 km/h
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SampdoriaPossession & high pressvs
Virtus EntellaPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · Sampdoria (45%)Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 2.12 (+4 %)
Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella · Serie B
1 · Sampdoria 45%X 25%30% Virtus Entella · 2
45%
25%
30%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella (Serie B, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Sampdoria win 45%, draw 25%, Virtus Entella win 30%. Expected goals (xG): Sampdoria 1.41, Virtus Entella 1.23. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 54%. Double chance: Sampdoria or draw 70%, Virtus Entella or draw 55%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Sampdoria – Virtus Entella
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
49% on over 2.5 is not enough to make goals the default. The model leans Sampdoria at 45%, ahead of Virtus Entella’s 30%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1-1 at 13%, followed by 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9%. That points to a narrow home result or stalemate, with under 2.5 the marginal lean.
Both sides favour possession and a high press, so there should be pressure without much room for loose football. Sampdoria’s 1.41 expected goals against Entella’s 1.23 supports a close game. The hosts have the xPoints edge, 11.1 to 11.0, and the xG edge, 1.3 to 1.2; the visitors are tighter defensively on season numbers, allowing 0.94 xGA per match against 1.2. Entella lead the points count 9 to 5, so the home lean is hardly a runaway.
The head-to-head since 2023 is only two matches: Sampdoria have 0W, 1D and 1L. It is a small sample and weighs less than form and expected goals. Best call: 1-1, under 2.5 lean. Still, over 2.5 at 2.12 with Betsafe, LeoVegas or Nordicbet is assessed EV+ at a 4% edge from the model’s 49% rating. Boring football, useful price.
SampdoriaForm LWLLD
League ranking xG #7xGA #8xT #6xP/match #7Points #19
Key players
- Tjas BegicLWxG 0.16 · xT 0.27
- Mattia VitiCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.01
- Antoine MakoumbouCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.06
Virtus EntellaForm WDDWL
League ranking xG #12xGA #2xT #12xP/match #9Points #13
Key players
- Andrea TiritielloCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.07
- Bernat Guiu VilanovaLWxG 0.25 · xT 0.15
- Francesco MezzoniRWBxG 0.20 · xT 0.13
Match prediction: Sampdoria – Virtus Entella
Predicted score matrix
Virtus Entella →
Sampdoria →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.5%
0–18.4%
0–25.4%
0–32.2%
0–4+0.9%
1
1–09.7%
1–112.8%
1–27.6%
1–33.1%
1–4+1.2%
2
2–07.1%
2–18.7%
2–25.3%
2–32.2%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–03.3%
3–14.1%
3–22.5%
3–31.0%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–01.6%
4+–12.0%
4+–21.2%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-19%
- 4.0-18%
- 5.1-28%
Expected goals
1,41–1,23
Both teams to score
54%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
118%
225%
322%
414%
5+13%
Under 2,551%
@1.64
Over 2,549%
@2.12EV+4%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Sampdoria to win45%
- Under 2.5 goals51%
- Lorenzo Insigne to score24%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score54%
- Over 2.5 goals49%
- Lorenzo Insigne to score24%
- Niccolò Squizzato to be booked20%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Over 2.549% probability@2.12BetsafeEV+4%reference odds
- Over 2.549% probability@2.12LeoVegasEV+4%reference odds
- Over 2.549% probability@2.12NordicbetEV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Sampdoria | X | 2 · Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.05 | 3.15 | EV+ 2% 3.45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05 | 3.25 | EV+ 1% 3.40 |
| Nordicbet | 2.05 | 3.15 | EV+ 2% 3.45 |
Odds updated 27 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
10 %
47 %42 %
2.05 → 2.05
X0 %
31 %26 %
3.25 → 3.25
20 %
29 %24 %
3.40 → 3.40
LeoVegas · 3 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 27/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesSampdoria 0Draw 1Virtus Entella 1
Goals: 2–4 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Serie B data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
Sampdoria (8–16)
Virtus Entella (10–9)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Sampdoria | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 5 | 9 |
| xPoints | 11.1 | 11 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 0.94 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.2 | 0.21 |
| Playing style | Sampdoria | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 0.92 |
| xTA per match | 0.8 | 0.56 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 30 | 27 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 14 |
| Entries into the box against | 10 | 7 |
| Pass completion % | 0.76 | 0.77 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 352 | 368 |
| Passes against per match | 404 | 346 |
| Switches of play per match | 22.9 | 31 |
| Long balls per match | 26 | 36 |
| Set pieces | Sampdoria | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Corners per match | 6.1 | 4.5 |
| Corners against per match | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.45 | 0.5 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.64 | 0.78 |
| Other | Sampdoria | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| The goalkeepers | Peter Vindahl Jensen (Sampdoria) | Federico Del Frate (Virtus Entella) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 15 | 17 |
| Save % | 52% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 33% | 53% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Hela spelschemat med svårighetsgrad per match: Sampdoria spelschemaVirtus Entella spelschema
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella according to our model?
The model gives Sampdoria a 45% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sampdoria 45%, draw 25%, Virtus Entella 30%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 49% and under at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella?
The model expects 1.41 goals (xG) for Sampdoria and 1.23 for Virtus Entella, 2.63 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Sampdoria or draw (1X) 70%, Virtus Entella or draw (X2) 55% and no draw (12) 75%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.