01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Vojvodina to win49%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Serbian Super LeagueKarađorđe-stadion, Novi Sad12°10 km/h
Läs på svenska
VojvodinaPossession control2–0
Radnički 1923Possession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Vojvodina (49%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 4.00 (+9 %)
Vojvodina vs Radnički 1923 · Serbian Super League
1 · Vojvodina 49%X 27%24% Radnički 1923 · 2
49%
27%
24%
Prediction summary
Final score 2–0. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Vojvodina vs Radnički 1923 (Serbian Super League, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Vojvodina win 49%, draw 27%, Radnički 1923 win 24%. Expected goals (xG): Vojvodina 1.62, Radnički 1923 1.20. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: Vojvodina or draw 76%, Radnički 1923 or draw 51%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
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Analysis: Vojvodina – Radnički 1923
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Vojvodina's dominance over Radnički 1923 is a clear theme in recent encounters, winning three and drawing two of their last five meetings. Despite this historical edge, the sample size is small and less telling than the current form and expected goals data, which suggest a closer match. Vojvodina's unbeaten run in their last six league games underscores their strength, but the xG figures reveal that Radnički 1923 isn't far behind, making this a tighter contest than the head-to-head might imply.
The model probabilities favor Vojvodina with a 49% win chance, yet the most likely individual scoreline is a 1-1 draw at 12%. This is an intriguing contradiction, given that Vojvodina's playing style emphasizes possession control, which should ideally create more scoring opportunities against a team with a similar approach. The expectation of 1.62 goals for the hosts against 1.20 for the visitors aligns with a narrow victory or stalemate scenario rather than a dominant display.
With both teams leaning heavily on possession control, the clash could easily become a tactical battle, potentially suppressing the goal count despite the fixture's 3.0 average goals per game. While the model projects a 54% chance for over 2.5 goals, the xPoints and xG margins are narrow, suggesting limited scoring opportunities. This aligns well with the value seen in the under 2.5 goals market, where both Betsafe and Nordicbet offer odds of 2.4, reflecting an 11% edge.
Ultimately, the sharpest angle lies in exploiting the mispricing on the goals market. Despite a tendency towards high-scoring past encounters, the under 2.5 goals bet at 2.4 appears undervalued considering the calculated probability. Vojvodina may edge this one 1-0, but the real value shines in expecting fewer goals than the odds suggest.
VojvodinaForm WWWDW
League ranking xG #3xGA #8xT #2xP/match #6Points #2
Key players
- Njegoš PetrovićCMxG 0.03 · xT 0.10
- Lazar RanđelovićRWxG 0.26 · xT 0.35
- Petar SukacevLBxG 0.15 · xT 0.18
Radnički 1923Form DDWWL
League ranking xG #4xGA #5xT #3xP/match #7Points #4
Key players
- Slobodan SimovićCBxG 0.14 · xT 0.09
- Nikola MarjanovićCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.07
- Uroš SremčevićFxG 0.64 · xT 0.02
Final score
2 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Vojvodina 49% · Draw 27% · Radnički 1923 24%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Radnicki 1923Båda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 12,72fair 13,35-5 %
MissMatchresultat - VojvodinaBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 5,01fair 7,38-32 %
MissMatch prediction: Vojvodina – Radnički 1923
Predicted score matrix
Radnički 1923 →
Vojvodina →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.3%
0–16.8%
0–24.3%
0–31.7%
0–4+0.7%
1
1–09.3%
1–111.9%
1–27.0%
1–32.8%
1–4+1.1%
2
2–07.8%
2–19.4%
2–25.6%
2–32.3%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–04.2%
3–15.1%
3–23.0%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–02.5%
4+–12.9%
4+–21.8%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.1-27%
Expected goals
1,62–1,20
Both teams to score
56%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@2.25EV+4%
Over 2,554%
@1.68
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Vojvodina to win49%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Ifet Đakovac to score24%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score56%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Ifet Đakovac to score24%
- Miloš Ristić to be booked26%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw27% probability@4.00Bet365EV+9%reference odds
- Under 1.522% probability@4.80Paddy PowerEV+7%reference odds
- Under 2.546% probability@2.25Bet365EV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Vojvodina | X | 2 · Radnički 1923 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | EV+ 9% 4.00 | EV+ 3% 4.33 |
| Betfair Exchange | 1.19 | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Betsafe | 1.68 | 3.60 | EV+ 3% 4.30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67 | 3.60 | EV+ 0% 4.20 |
| Nordicbet | 1.68 | 3.60 | EV+ 3% 4.30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65 | EV+ 3% 3.80 | EV+ 0% 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | EV+ 2% 3.75 | EV+ 3% 4.32 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 08:17
Odds movement
1+6 %
59 %54 %
1.58 → 1.67
X-7 %
26 %21 %
4.05 → 3.75
2-6 %
23 %18 %
4.59 → 4.32
Pinnacle · 4 recorded price levels · 15/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
5 matchesVojvodina 3Draw 2Radnički 1923 0
Goals: 10–5 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Serbian Super League data since 2023.
Key facts
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad dominate this fixture historically: 3 wins to 0 in 5 meetings.
- A high-scoring fixture: 3.0 goals per meeting on average.
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad are unbeaten in their last 6 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Vojvodina
Radnički 1923
Vojvodina (25–11)
Radnički 1923 (17–12)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Vojvodina
Radnički 1923
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Vojvodina
Radnički 1923
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Vojvodina | Radnički 1923 |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25 | 17 |
| xPoints | 17.6 | 15.2 |
| xG per match | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.56 | 0.29 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| Playing style | Vojvodina | Radnički 1923 |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| xTA per match | 0.76 | 0.98 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 27 | 25 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.37 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 16 |
| Entries into the box against | 10 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.67 |
| Passes per match | 300 | 308 |
| Passes against per match | 277 | 225 |
| Switches of play per match | 19.5 | 19.3 |
| Long balls per match | 30 | 25 |
| Set pieces | Vojvodina | Radnički 1923 |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Corners per match | 4.2 | 6.5 |
| Corners against per match | 5 | 4.1 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| Other | Vojvodina | Radnički 1923 |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| The goalkeepers | Dragan Rosić (Vojvodina) | Luka Lijeskić (Radnički 1923) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 41 | 29 |
| Save % | 80% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 58% | 52% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Vojvodina vs Radnički 1923 according to our model?
The model gives Vojvodina a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Vojvodina 49%, draw 27%, Radnički 1923 24%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Vojvodina vs Radnički 1923?
The model expects 1.62 goals (xG) for Vojvodina and 1.20 for Radnički 1923, 2.82 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Vojvodina or draw (1X) 76%, Radnički 1923 or draw (X2) 51% and no draw (12) 73%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.