01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Red Bull Salzburg to win76%
- Over 1.5 goals86%
Austrian Bundesliga14°9 km/h
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Red Bull SalzburgPossession & high press3–0
Rheindorf AltachPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Red Bull Salzburg (76%)Best value by the model: No @ 2.10 (+8 %)
Red Bull Salzburg vs Rheindorf Altach · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · Red Bull Salzburg 76%X 15%9% Rheindorf Altach · 2
76%
15%
Prediction summary
Final score 3–0. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Red Bull Salzburg vs Rheindorf Altach (Austrian Bundesliga, Sunday, 18 October 2026): Red Bull Salzburg win 76%, draw 15%, Rheindorf Altach win 9%. Expected goals (xG): Red Bull Salzburg 2.69, Rheindorf Altach 0.73. Most likely score: 2-0 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 49%. Double chance: Red Bull Salzburg or draw 91%, Rheindorf Altach or draw 24%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
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Analysis: Red Bull Salzburg – Rheindorf Altach
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
The TEXT contains a factual error: it describes a 49% both-teams-to-score probability as "a slim chance," which misrepresents the data (49% is roughly a coin-flip, not slim).
Corrected text:
Red Bull Salzburg's unyielding grip on the top of the Austrian Bundesliga is underscored by their current unbeaten streak of 8 league matches. This form is fueled by their aggressive possession and high pressing style, a tactical approach that consistently overwhelms opponents. Against SCR Altach, who also favor possession control but lack the same intensity and firepower, Salzburg's dominance is likely to shine through. The numbers tell a compelling story: an expected goals (xG) of 2.69 for the hosts against a meager 0.73 for the visitors suggests a clear disparity in attacking potential.
While the head-to-head record since 2022 might show a surprisingly close encounter with Salzburg only managing one win and three draws against Altach, it's a small sample size that doesn't overshadow the current form and underlying stats. Salzburg's home win probability stands at a commanding 76%, bolstered by historical data where they win 56% of their home matches. This is a team built to control and dictate the rhythm of the game, a skill they've honed exceptionally well.
The expected scorelines of 2-0 and 3-0 confirm a tilt towards a Salzburg victory, fitting snugly with their xG supremacy. Altach, with their modest xG of 1.2 per match, may struggle to breach Salzburg's defensive lines. With a 49% probability for both teams to score, it's close to a coin-flip whether Altach manages to find the net. Despite a 67% probability for over 2.5 goals, the visitors' defensive frailties could tilt the match towards a comfortable home win.
In the betting markets, there's value in backing Salzburg at odds of 1.38 with LeoVegas, where a 5% edge is identified. Similarly, odds of 1.36 with Betsafe and Nordicbet offer a 4% edge, making them attractive propositions for punters seeking value in Salzburg's formidable home record. It's a clear indication that this is Salzburg's match to lose, and the odds suggest a rewarding angle for those placing faith in the league leaders.
Red Bull SalzburgForm WWDWD
League ranking xG #2xGA #3xT #4xP/match #3Points #2
Key players
- Edmund BaidooRWxG 0.16 · xT 0.21
- Frans KrätzigLBxG 0.29 · xT 0.22
- Tim DrexlerCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.05
Rheindorf AltachForm LLLLW
League ranking xG #7xGA #4xT #5xP/match #7Points #11
Key players
- Benedikt ZechCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.10
- Mike Steven BahreCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.07
- Patrick GreilFxG 0.37 · xT 0.10
Final score
3 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Red Bull Salzburg 76% · Draw 15% · Rheindorf Altach 9%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Red Bull SalzburgBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 3,51fair 3,97-12 %
MissMatchresultat - AltachBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 18,70fair 55,96-67 %
MissMatch prediction: Red Bull Salzburg – Rheindorf Altach
Predicted score matrix
Rheindorf Altach →
Red Bull Salzburg →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.4%
0–12.2%
0–20.9%
0–30.2%
0–4+0.0%
1
1–08.6%
1–16.6%
1–22.4%
1–30.6%
1–4+0.1%
2
2–011.8%
2–18.6%
2–23.2%
2–30.8%
2–4+0.2%
3
3–010.6%
3–17.8%
3–22.8%
3–30.7%
3–4+0.1%
4+
4+–013.7%
4+–110.0%
4+–23.7%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-012%
- 2.3-011%
- 3.2-19%
- 4.1-09%
- 5.3-18%
Expected goals
2,69–0,73
Both teams to score
49%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,40
111%
219%
322%
419%
5+26%
Under 2,533%
@3.10EV+4%
Over 2,567%
@1.44
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Red Bull Salzburg to win76%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Haris Tabaković to score47%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score49%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Haris Tabaković to score47%
- Vesel Demaku to be booked24%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Both teams to score: No51% probability@2.10Bet365EV+8%reference odds
- 1 · Red Bull Salzburg76% probability@1.39PinnacleEV+6%reference odds
- 1 · Red Bull Salzburg76% probability@1.38BetsafeEV+5%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Red Bull Salzburg | X | 2 · Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betsafe | EV+ 5% 1.38 | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 5% 1.38 | 5.00 | 6.75 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 5% 1.38 | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 6% 1.39 | 5.32 | 7.39 |
Odds updated 18 Oct, 13:35
Odds movement
10 %
72 %67 %
1.39 → 1.39
X+4 %
20 %15 %
5.11 → 5.32
2+7 %
15 %10 %
6.91 → 7.39
Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 14/10/2026 → 18/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesRed Bull Salzburg 1Draw 3Rheindorf Altach 0
Goals: 6–5 (⌀ 2,8)
Head-to-head based on Austrian Bundesliga data since 2022.
Key facts
- Red Bull Salzburg are unbeaten in their last 8 league matches.
- Red Bull Salzburg win 56% of their home matches all-time (36 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Red Bull Salzburg
Rheindorf Altach
Red Bull Salzburg (18–4)
Rheindorf Altach (8–12)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Red Bull Salzburg
Rheindorf Altach
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Red Bull Salzburg
Rheindorf Altach
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Red Bull Salzburg | Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18 | 6 |
| xPoints | 14.6 | 10.9 |
| xG per match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| Playing style | Red Bull Salzburg | Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.63 | 0.45 |
| xT per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 0.73 | 1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 26 | 26 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.32 | 0.3 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 10 | 14 |
| Pass completion % | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| Passes per match | 538 | 349 |
| Passes against per match | 272 | 337 |
| Switches of play per match | 31.5 | 25.9 |
| Long balls per match | 35 | 37 |
| Set pieces | Red Bull Salzburg | Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| Corners per match | 7.4 | 5.3 |
| Corners against per match | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| Other | Red Bull Salzburg | Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Christian Zawieschitzky (Red Bull Salzburg) | Dejan Stojanovic (Rheindorf Altach) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 15 | 21 |
| Save % | 79% | 64% |
| xG prevented | 90% | 48% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Red Bull Salzburg vs Rheindorf Altach according to our model?
The model gives Red Bull Salzburg a 76% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Red Bull Salzburg 76%, draw 15%, Rheindorf Altach 9%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and under at 33%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Red Bull Salzburg vs Rheindorf Altach?
The model expects 2.69 goals (xG) for Red Bull Salzburg and 0.73 for Rheindorf Altach, 3.43 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Red Bull Salzburg or draw (1X) 91%, Rheindorf Altach or draw (X2) 24% and no draw (12) 85%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Get the bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.