Austrian Bundesliga8°1,3 mm11 km/h

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    Rheindorf AltachRheindorf AltachPossession control
    2–1
    Austria WienAustria WienPossession control
    The model's lean: 1 · Rheindorf Altach (39%)Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 2.02 (+13 %)

    Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Wien · Austrian Bundesliga

    1 · Rheindorf Altach 39%X 31%31% Austria Wien · 2

    Prediction summary

    Final score 2–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Wien (Austrian Bundesliga, Friday, 23 October 2026): Rheindorf Altach win 39%, draw 31%, Austria Wien win 31%. Expected goals (xG): Rheindorf Altach 1.30, Austria Wien 1.14. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 50%. Double chance: Rheindorf Altach or draw 69%, Austria Wien or draw 61%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Rheindorf Altach – Austria Wien

    Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

    The anticipated clash between Rheindorf Altach and Austria Wien reveals a subtle yet intriguing pattern beneath the surface. Both teams adopt a possession control style, indicating a likely midfield battle with moments of cautious probing. The model backs Altach, giving them a 39% chance to secure victory, with a draw and an Austria Vienna win each at 31%. This parity underscores the game's potential tightness, reflected in the most likely scorelines of 1-1, 1-0, and 0-1.

    Despite Austria Wien's slight edge in the league table, with 7 points compared to Altach's 6, the underlying numbers paint a different picture. Altach boast superior expected points (11.6 to 7.2) and a better xG per match (1.1 to 0.86), highlighting their capacity to create quality chances. They also maintain a tighter defense, with a lower expected goals against (1.5 versus 1.9). These figures suggest Altach may have the upper hand, but the small head-to-head sample of just four games since 2022, slightly favoring Austria Wien, lacks the weight to decisively shift expectations.

    The odds also point towards a low-scoring affair. With a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and only a 50% chance of both teams scoring, a cautious game seems likely. The under 1.5 goals bet emerges as a valuable play here. Offered at odds of 3.7 with Betsafe and Nordicbet, it presents a 9% positive expected value since the model rates it at 30%. For those seeking an even bolder approach, under 0.5 goals at odds of 12.0 with Betsafe is also attractive, aligning with the game’s projected tightness and yielding another 9% edge.

    Aligning with the numbers, a 1-0 victory for either side could well be the outcome. The sharpest betting angle remains on the unders, where value lurks in the odds for a goalless or near-goalless encounter.

    Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach
    Form LLLWL
    League ranking xG #7xGA #5xT #5xP/match #7Points #11
    Key players
    • Mike Steven BahreCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.07
    • Patrick GreilFxG 0.34 · xT 0.09
    • Srđan HrstićFxG 0.40 · xT 0.01
    Austria WienAustria Wien
    Form LWDLL
    League ranking xG #12xGA #10xT #8xP/match #12Points #10
    Key players
    • Manfred FischerCAMxG 0.10 · xT 0.11
    • Johannes HandlCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.08
    • Johannes EggesteinFxG 0.17 · xT 0.16
    Final score
    2 – 1
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Rheindorf Altach 39% · Draw 31% · Austria Wien 31%

    How the bookmaker bet builders went

    The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

    Matchresultat - Austria WienBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 9,89fair 15,26-35 %
    Miss
    Matchresultat - AltachBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 7,08fair 11,66-39 %
    Miss

    Match prediction: Rheindorf Altach – Austria Wien

    Predicted score matrix

    Austria Wien →
    Rheindorf Altach →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–09.1%
    0–19.5%
    0–25.6%
    0–32.1%
    0–4+0.8%
    1
    1–011.0%
    1–113.3%
    1–27.3%
    1–32.8%
    1–4+1.0%
    2
    2–07.4%
    2–18.4%
    2–24.8%
    2–31.8%
    2–4+0.7%
    3
    3–03.2%
    3–13.7%
    3–22.1%
    3–30.8%
    3–4+0.3%
    4+
    4+–01.4%
    4+–11.6%
    4+–20.9%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-113%
    2. 2.1-011%
    3. 3.0-110%
    4. 4.0-09%
    5. 5.2-18%
    Expected goals
    1,30–1,14
    Both teams to score
    50%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,4
    Under 2,556%
    @2.02EV+3%
    Over 2,544%
    @1.95

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Rheindorf Altach or draw (1X)68%
    • Under 3.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    52%

    Fair odds

    1.91

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Rheindorf Altach or draw (1X)68%
    • Under 2.5 goals56%
    • Rodney Elongo-Yombo to score21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score50%
    • Over 2.5 goals44%
    • Kelvin Owusu Boateng to score22%
    • Vesel Demaku to be booked21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Under 2.556% probability@2.02PinnacleEV+13%reference odds
    • X · Draw31% probability@3.59PinnacleEV+11%reference odds
    • Under 1.530% probability@3.70BetsafeEV+9%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · Rheindorf AltachX2 · Austria Wien
    Bet3652.35
    EV+ 2%
    3.30
    2.65
    Betfair Exchange1.121.121.12
    Betsafe2.15
    EV+ 5%
    3.40
    3.05
    Nordicbet2.15
    EV+ 5%
    3.40
    3.05
    Pinnacle2.29
    EV+ 11%
    3.59
    3.10

    Odds updated 23 Oct, 13:36

    Odds movement

    1+6 %
    46 %41 %

    2.16 → 2.29

    X+1 %
    29 %24 %

    3.54 → 3.59

    2-4 %
    33 %28 %

    3.24 → 3.10

    Over 2,5+1 %
    54 %49 %

    1.84 → 1.85

    Pinnacle · 11 recorded price levels · 18/10/2026 → 23/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    4 matches
    Rheindorf Altach 1Draw 1Austria Wien 2
    Goals: 3–6 (⌀ 2,2)

    Head-to-head based on Austrian Bundesliga data since 2022.

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Rheindorf Altach
    Austria Wien
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Rheindorf Altach (8–15)
    Austria Wien (9–18)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Rheindorf Altach
    Lukas Jager: 212 passningar, xT 0.27JagerFilip Milojevic: 168 passningar, xT 0.24MilojevicMike Steven Bahre: 162 passningar, xT 0.17BahreDejan Stojanovic: 145 passningar, xT 0.13StojanovicBenjamin Bockle: 136 passningar, xT 0.56BockleNiklas Niehoff: 129 passningar, xT 0.78NiehoffBenedikt Zech: 124 passningar, xT 0.25ZechVesel Demaku: 91 passningar, xT 0.23DemakuPatrick Greil: 85 passningar, xT 0.13GreilYann Massombo Litawumba: 69 passningar, xT 0.32LitawumbaRassa Rahmani: 61 passningar, xT 0.14Rahmani
    Austria Wien
    Johannes Handl: 281 passningar, xT 0.4HandlAleksandar Dragovic: 231 passningar, xT 0.43DragovicReinhold Ranftl: 228 passningar, xT 1.6RanftlValentino Muller: 164 passningar, xT 0.2MullerSamuel Sahin Radlinger: 148 passningar, xT -0.03RadlingerTae-Seok Lee: 143 passningar, xT 0.34LeeManfred Fischer: 112 passningar, xT 0.76FischerJohannes Eggestein: 109 passningar, xT 0.94EggesteinIbrahim Buhari: 105 passningar, xT 0.09BuhariVasilije Markovic: 90 passningar, xT 0.3MarkovicDaniel Nnodim: 60 passningar, xT -0.03Nnodim
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Rheindorf Altach
    Lukas Jager: 212 passningar, xT 0.27JagerFilip Milojevic: 168 passningar, xT 0.24MilojevicMike Steven Bahre: 162 passningar, xT 0.17BahreDejan Stojanovic: 145 passningar, xT 0.13StojanovicBenjamin Bockle: 136 passningar, xT 0.56BockleNiklas Niehoff: 129 passningar, xT 0.78NiehoffBenedikt Zech: 124 passningar, xT 0.25ZechVesel Demaku: 91 passningar, xT 0.23DemakuPatrick Greil: 85 passningar, xT 0.13GreilYann Massombo Litawumba: 69 passningar, xT 0.32LitawumbaRassa Rahmani: 61 passningar, xT 0.14Rahmani
    Austria Wien
    Johannes Handl: 281 passningar, xT 0.4HandlAleksandar Dragovic: 231 passningar, xT 0.43DragovicReinhold Ranftl: 228 passningar, xT 1.6RanftlValentino Muller: 164 passningar, xT 0.2MullerSamuel Sahin Radlinger: 148 passningar, xT -0.03RadlingerTae-Seok Lee: 143 passningar, xT 0.34LeeManfred Fischer: 112 passningar, xT 0.76FischerJohannes Eggestein: 109 passningar, xT 0.94EggesteinIbrahim Buhari: 105 passningar, xT 0.09BuhariVasilije Markovic: 90 passningar, xT 0.3MarkovicDaniel Nnodim: 60 passningar, xT -0.03Nnodim

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceRheindorf AltachAustria Wien
    Points67
    xPoints11.67.2
    xG per match1.10.86
    xGA per match1.51.9
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.180.17
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.230.22
    Playing styleRheindorf AltachAustria Wien
    Build-up efficiency0.310.31
    Field tilt0.40.48
    xT per match1.20.92
    xTA per match1.21.1
    Won balls, offensive half2527
    Pressing intensity0.230.23
    Pressing efficiency0.280.31
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.230.27
    Entries into the box per match1213
    Entries into the box against1412
    Pass completion %0.750.73
    Pass completion % under pressure0.680.65
    Passes per match337350
    Passes against per match359362
    Switches of play per match24.627.3
    Long balls per match3733
    Set piecesRheindorf AltachAustria Wien
    xG from free kicks0.050.04
    Corners per match4.85
    Corners against per match4.95.8
    xG per corner0.020.03
    xGA per corner against0.020.05
    First touch, offensive corners %0.330.47
    First touch, defensive corners %0.50.62
    OtherRheindorf AltachAustria Wien
    Throw-in control0.730.74
    The goalkeepersDejan Stojanovic (Rheindorf Altach)Samuel Sahin Radlinger (Austria Wien)
    Saves2630
    Save %63%64%
    xG prevented52%37%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Wien according to our model?

    The model gives Rheindorf Altach a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Rheindorf Altach 39%, draw 31%, Austria Wien 31%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and under at 56%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Wien?

    The model expects 1.30 goals (xG) for Rheindorf Altach and 1.14 for Austria Wien, 2.44 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Rheindorf Altach or draw (1X) 69%, Austria Wien or draw (X2) 61% and no draw (12) 69%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.